Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Jan Choinski Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Jan Choinski recently wins 46.57% of second serve points, slightly surpassing Daniel Merida Aguilar, who achieves 44.68%. Does this give Choinski a slight advantage? Perhaps, considering the correlation with match predictions.
• Return Game Stats: Daniel Merida Aguilar excels in return games, capturing 49.71% of opponents' second-serve points, while Choinski manages 43.32%.
• Pressure Management: Under pressure, Choinski saves 55.01% of breakpoints, slightly ahead of Aguilar’s 53.38%.
• Match Performance: Over the last year, Choinski boasts a 60.61% win rate, whereas Aguilar leads with 66.22%. Could Aguilar's higher win percentage be decisive?
• Surface Strength: Both players excel on clay, each holding a 63% win rate. However, Choinski struggles on grass, and Aguilar fares poorly on indoor hard courts.
• Tournament Level: Choinski and Aguilar both frequently play in Challengers/ITF tournaments over $10K, with Choinski slightly ahead at 64.41% wins versus Aguilar’s 62.26%.
• Head-to-Head Record: Choinski has defeated Aguilar the only time they faced off, winning in straight sets at the Guayaquil Challenger.
• Opponent Quality: Choinski generally contends with stronger opponents, facing an average rank of 242.68 compared to Aguilar's 315.35.
• Deciding Sets: Choinski triumphs in 79% of deciding sets over the past year, whereas Aguilar wins 65%, hinting at potential resilience from Choinski in critical moments.
• Break Point Conversion: Aguilar edges slightly ahead with a 30.51% conversion rate on breakpoints, compared to Choinski’s 26.80%.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Jan Choinski and Daniel Merida Aguilar offers a fascinating study of competing styles and recent form. Despite Choinski's supremacy in second serve performance, Aguilar demonstrates formidable return game capabilities, especially on the opponent's second serve. Choinski has shown a better ability to manage high-pressure situations, evidenced by his higher breakpoint save percentage. Despite Aguilar's higher win rate over the past year, facing generally lower-ranked opponents might have influenced this statistic. Both players have a solid track record on clay, indicating a balanced match, with neither player having a significant surface advantage. However, Choinski's superior performance in deciding sets may provide an upper edge. Considering these factors, including their head-to-head history where Choinski holds the sole victory, the prediction leans toward Jan Choinski as the most likely victor in this matchup. Expect a competitive battle, but Choinski’s tenacity in crucial moments might tilt the scales in his favor.